AFL Round 17 – Punt Club

AFL Round 17

July 8, 2021

The Demons have been knocked off the top of the ladder, will they continue to free fall or find a way back on top? Will the finals puzzle look any clearer after this round or is it wide open? 

Don’t forget Ladbrokes are offering a $2 line for Thursday’s and Friday’s clashes. Pretty keen to take them up on that offer in tonight’s and tomorrow’s clashes! (Thanks Lads)

Thursday

Port Adelaide ($1.72) VS Melbourne ($2.15) – Adelaide Oval

Pretty keen to be with Port Adelaide in this. Melbourne have only managed 1 win from their last 3 and last time we saw them they went down to GWS at the MCG. Port easily overcame Hawthorn last fixture and they look to be building, they have won the last 3 games between these clubs with the last one being a demolition job – winning by 50 points. 

Suggested Bet – Port Adelaide -4.5 @ $2

Friday

Essendon ($1.33) VS Adelaide Crows ($3.35) – Marvel Stadium

As Jimmy Barnes put it – “standing on the outside looking in” – best describes these two as they are just outside the 8 with aspirations of making their way into finals contention. The Bombers got off to a flyer against the Cats at Kardinia Park before being outclassed in the end. Essendon are playing some decent footy and no one has been better than Darcy Parish.  

Suggested Bet – Essendon -20.5 @ $2

Saturday

Hawthorn ($2.15) VS Fremantle ($1.70) – University of Tasmania Stadium

Hawthorn have had some abysmal quarters of footy this season but like Freo, they have managed 2 wins from their last 5 matches. The Dockers are on the road for their 3rd straight week and flying down to Tassie is less than ideal, they are now 2-7 when not hosting an interstate side at Optus Stadium this season. They travel about as well as a pensioner with motion sickness. 

Suggested Bet – Hawthorn @ $2.15

Carlton ($3.50) VS Geelong Cats ($1.30) – MCG

Geelong started the season slowly with injuries and Dangerfield’s suspension affecting their performances. They are the in-form team of the comp for mine, having won 7 of their last 8 matches. Carlton have managed to string two wins together but they will find this much tougher than Fremantle last fixture. The Cats are purring and ready to strike into a top 4 position.

Suggested Bet – Geelong Cats -18.5 @ $1.90

Brisbane Lions ($1.24) VS St Kilda ($4.10) – Metricon Stadium

Assuming Lachie Neale is fit for this one…The lions have strung together a solid season thus far and will be looking to further cement a top 4 finish. Whilst not at the GABBA, this one will be played in QLD which is a big advantage for the Lions. If the Lions are fair dinkum about being a threat this season, they need to do a number on the Saints.

Suggested Bet – Brisbane Lions -26.5 @ $1.90

Sunday

GWS Giants ($1.40) VS Gold Coast Suns ($3) – Mars Stadium

What is more Covid than GWS and Gold Coast doing battle in the unfamiliar surrounds of Ballarat’s Mars Stadium? Interestingly, both sides managed upsets last week, none bigger than the Suns defeat of Richmond – who saw that coming? That said, I’m not convinced either of these teams is going particularly well. I don’t have much between them and for that reason I’ll take the start.  

Suggested bet – Gold Coast Suns +16.5 @ $1.90

Western Bulldogs ($1.30) VS Sydney Swans ($3.60) – Marvel Stadium

First might be hosting sixth but there might not be as much between these two as the market suggests. Both have dropped 2 games in their last 5 and the Swans put together their best performance of the season when demolishing West Coast at GMHBA. Buddy Franklin has kicked 3 or more goals in 7 of his last 11 appearances and his return to form is key to the Swans chances. 

Suggested bet – Sydney Swans +21.5 @ $1.90

Richmond ($1.60) VS Collingwood ($2.35) – MCG

I’ve been forgiving of Richmond the last three rounds but I have to drop off them – they’re morals now!…They have really struggled to move the footy in recent weeks and after being kept to 22 points against the Saints, and being outplayed by the Suns last week, I just have to oppose them. The Magpies aren’t exactly flying but they at least scored 61 points against the Saints last match. 

Suggested bet – Collingwood +7.5 @ $1.90

Monday

West Coast Eagles ($1.22) VS North Melbourne ($4.25) – Optus Stadium

West Coast were flogged in the last fixture but this looks like being played at Optus Stadium, which is a huge plus for them. North Melbourne have only managed 2 wins for the season and they look outclassed in this.

 Suggested bet – West Coast Eagles -26.5 @ $1.90