AFL Round 18 – Punt Club

AFL Round 18

July 15, 2021

This looks like another round that will be largely disrupted by Covid with most teams now fleeing Melbourne and Sydney. At time of writing some games are still to be decided on when and where they’ll be played but we’ll do our best to find a bet or two.

Don’t forget Ladbrokes are offering a $2 line for Thursday’s and Friday’s clashes, now let’s get down to finding a bet!

Thursday

Fremantle ($2.02) VS Geelong Cats ($1.80) – Optus Stadium

So far this season Fremantle have only beaten 1 team in the top half of the ladder. The Cats weren’t convincing but they got the job done against Carlton last week. The last time they met here Geelong won 48-16 and I’m backing them to win again. 

Suggested Bet – Geelong Cats -2.5 @ $2

Friday

Richmond ($2.65) VS Brisbane Lions ($1.48) – MCG (Possible change?)

The Lions have been in quarantine in their hotel in Melbourne and this game looks like going ahead at the G. Richmond have now lost 4 on the bounce, something they haven’t done since 2016. The Lions will be without Hipwood who sustained an ACL injury in their shock loss to St Kilda. I just have to steer clear of Richmond at the moment and back the Lions to cover. 

Suggested Bet – Brisbane Lions -13.5 @ $2

Saturday

Melbourne ($1.08) VS Hawthorn ($7.75) – MCG (Possible change?)

This also looks like taking place at the G but things can change rapidly these days. 1st plays 17th and this looks like being a really one sided affair. The line has been set at 41.5 and I’m keen enough to avoid that. We’ll take a SGM consisting of Fritsch 2+ goals, Oliver 30+ disposals and Petracca anytime goal.

Suggested Bet – SGM – Fritsch 2+ goals, Oliver 30+ disposals, Petracca anytime goal @ $3.95

Gold Coast Suns ($4.10) VS Western Bulldogs ($1.24) – Metricon Stadium

The Suns have managed to string two wins together now in unlikely fashion. You can’t knock their effort at the moment and hosting the Western Bulldogs, who have dropped 2 from their last 5, I think they can be very competitive again. Let’s go Sunnies! 

Suggested Bet – Gold Coast Suns +24.5 @ $1.90

St Kilda ($1.95) VS Port Adelaide ($1.87) – Marvel Stadium (Possible venue change?)

This is set to be contested at Marvel but that could change…The Saints have now strung 3 wins together and have improved dramatically since their bye. It’s hard to be too confident in this with all the uncertainty surrounding this fixture, but I’m happy to be with St Kilda.

Suggested Bet – St Kilda @ $1.95

Sunday

North Melbourne ($3.50) VS Essendon ($1.30) – Metricon Stadium

Late change to Metricon as both teams look to escape the lockdown. A lot to like about Essendon lately and with Heppell returning they can run away against North Melbourne. 

Suggested bet – Essendon -23.5 @ $1.90

Collingwood ($1.95) VS Carlton ($1.87) – MCG (Possible change?)

Again another game in Melbourne that might be subject to change…The market has this one a tight affair, as do I. There looks very little between these two and I’m reluctant to pull the trigger either way. We’ll have something on Harry McKay to kick 3 or more goals. 

Suggested bet – Harry McKay to kick 3+ goals @ $1.92

Adelaide Crows ($2.15) VS West Coast Eagles ($1.70) – Adelaide Oval

This one looks fine to go ahead in Adelaide after the Eagles travelled there on Wednesday. Both have now conceded 3 defeats in a row and I fancy West Coast might be the side that is more desperate to avoid a 4th consecutive loss. Sitting in 8th spot, this shapes as a must win if they wish to build any momentum ahead of September. 

Suggested bet – West Coast Eagles -5.5 @ $1.90