AFL Round 19 – Punt Club

AFL Round 19

July 23, 2021

We march into round 19 with finals footy just around the corner!

Ladbrokes are offering a $2 line for Friday’s clash between Port Adelaide and Collingwood, here’s how I’m playing it.

Friday

Port Adelaide ($1.21) VS Collingwood ($4.45) – Marvel Stadium

1 point separated these two in round 10 when The Power overturned a 26 point deficit. Ironically, The Pies led Carlton by as many as 24 points in their latest fixture before losing 91-62. 

Suggested Bet – Collingwood +23.5 @ $2

Saturday

Carlton ($1.46) VS North Melbourne ($2.75) – Marvel Stadium

Ask any Carlton supporter and they’ll tell you their back and a lock for finals footy after their come from behind win against traditional rivals Collingwood. Carlton won their last encounter against North Melbourne but have lost 5 from their last 6 against them. Carlton supporters may want to put the champagne on ice. 

Suggested Bet – North Melbourne +13.5 @ $1.90

Brisbane Lions ($1.22) VS Gold Coast Suns ($4.25) – Gabba

The 21st edition of the QClash and normally it is one way traffic for Brisbane in these clashes having won 5 straight against the Suns, but the Lions have been off the pace lately and the Suns pushed the Bulldogs all the way last weekend. I like what the Suns have done recently and they can win!

Suggested Bet – Gold Coast Suns +27.5 @ $1.90 and have something on them to win @ $4.25

West Coast Eagles ($1.45) VS St Kilda ($2.80) – Optus Stadium

These two met in round 4 where St Kilda overturned a 33 point third quarter deficit to go on and win. Both are in desperate need of a win and the crucial 4 points. I like West Coast back at home and with the Saints losing Rowan Marshall (Tier 1 exposure site), it only makes things tougher.

Suggested Bet – West Coast Eagles -14.5 @ $1.90

Melbourne ($1.87) VS Western Bulldogs ($1.95) – MCG

The Grand Prix might have been cancelled but we still get a battle for pole position with the winner taking their place atop of the table. Understandably, the market is having a hard time splitting them and so am I. Let’s take a cheeky SGM.

Suggested Bet – SGM – Fritsch 2+ goals, Ben Brown anytime goal, Salem 25+ disposals, Oliver 25+ Disposals @ $5.28

Adelaide ($2.30) VS Hawthorn ($1.62) – Marvel Stadium

There’s not a lot to play for other than pride with both these sides in the bottom 3. Last time they met in Tassie it was a thrilling 3 point win to Hawthorn. Adelaide suffered a 98-56 defeat at the hands of West Coast last fixture. Confidence isn’t overly high but we’ll take Hawthorn at the line. 

Suggested bet – Hawthorn -7.5 @ $1.90

Sunday

Sydney Swans ($1.30) VS Fremantle ($3.50) – Metricon Stadium

The Swannies are looking to put their 4th straight win together and look to be coming good at the right time of the year, thanks mainly to the return to form of Buddy Franklin. 

Suggested bet – SGM – Lance Franklin 2+ Goals, Sydney Swans -19.5 @ $2.23

Geelong Cats ($1.40) VS Richmond ($3) – MCG

Richmond showed their was still some fight in the Tigers when downing Brisbane but that win came at a heft price with Dustin Martin to miss the remainder of 2021. The Cats are on the prowl heading into the finals and they will be desperate for a top 4 finish. 

Suggested bet – Geelong Cats -15.5 @ $1.90

Essendon ($1.62) VS GWS Giants ($2.30) – Metricon Stadium

Whilst both are hunting for a crucial win to edge closer to a top 8 finish it is Essendon that come into this with 2 straight victories, compared to GWS who have lost consecutive matches.

Suggested bet – Essendon -7.5 @ $1.90