AFL Round 7 – Punt Club

AFL Round 7

April 29, 2021

There looks a few eye watering clashes in what shapes as a fairly even round in the AFL, but here at Punt Club we rarely sit on fences, couches on the other hand…

Don’t forget Ladbrokes are offering a $2 line for Friday’s clash.

Friday

Richmond ($2.55) VS Western Bulldogs ($1.52) – MCG

Both teams have a few injury worries but none more so than the Tigers with Dusty sidelined. The Bulldogs are looking to stay undefeated in 2021 and I see no reason why that won’t eventuate.

Suggested Bet – Western Bulldogs -11.5 @ $2

Saturday

Collingwood ($1.42) VS Gold Coast Suns ($2.85) – MCG

Hard to judge what we’ll get from the Pies at the moment, outside of Pendlebury and Sidebottom there are many inconsistent performers. The Suns are coming off a dominant win at home against the Swans, if they can repeat that performance they can go close. 

Suggested Bet – Gold Coast Suns +12.5 @ $1.90

Adelaide Crows ($1.90) VS GWS Giants ($1.90) – Adelaide Oval

The market has this game as ‘pick em’ and so do I. Both teams will fancy their chances in what should be an arm wrestle. Every chance both teams trade goals and expect the match to really open up the last quarter. 

Suggested Bet – Total Match Points Over 170.5 @ $1.88

St Kilda ($1.58) VS Hawthorn ($2.40) – Marvel Stadium

I’m surprised the Saints are so short here, they have looked well below their best the last 2 rounds where they have only kicked a combined 12 goals. The Hawks were beaten by Melbourne before bouncing back last week when running down Adelaide. 

Suggested Bet – Hawthorn +8.5 @ $1.90

Sydney Swans ($2.75) VS Geelong ($1.46) – SCG

Geelong didn’t let their supporters down last week when demolishing West Coast, they have to travel up to Sydney, but can be far too good for a Swans side down plenty of troops.

Suggested Bet – Geelong Cats -12.5 @ $1.90

Brisbane Lions ($2.10) VS Port Adelaide ($1.73) – Gabba

The Lions love playing at home at the Gabba but without Lachie Neale it is hard to put them on top. Both teams have played in some high scoring games this season and I see no reason why that won’t be the case again. 

Suggested bet – Total Match Points Over 154.5  @ $1.88

Sunday

North Melbourne ($15) VS Melbourne ($1.02) – Blundstone Arena

I’ll keep this brief. North = bad. Melbourne = good. A last quarter demolition to cover the line. 

Suggested bet – Melbourne -56.5 @ $1.90

Essendon ($2.15) VS Carlton ($1.70) – MCG

Found this one pretty tricky and struggled to separate them. Shapes as a real arm wrestle with the winner decided very late in the piece. That said, we’ll have a crack at a winning margin option of either team to win by less than 15.5 points. 

Suggested bet – Tribet 1-15 – Either team to win by less than 15.5 points @ $2.60

West Coast Eagles ($1.70) VS Fremantle ($2.15) – Optus Stadium

The battle of the west. West Coast were absolutely annihilated by Geelong last week, whilst Freo cruised past the lowly Kangas. Should be a spirited contest, one that I think Freo can come out on top of. 

Suggested bet – Fremantle @ $2.15