ANOTHER LONG WEEKEND OF UPSETS? – Punt Club

ANOTHER LONG WEEKEND OF UPSETS?

April 20, 2022

Round 6 Preview

The ANZAC Day long weekend sees some epic clashes that are steeped in history but we must remember our own history, and pay our respects to all diggers past and current – L’est we forget.

There looks to be some decent value about this round, let’s get down to it shall we..

GWS ($2.15) vs St Kilda ($1.70)

  • GWS 1 from 4
  • Saints 4 from 1
  • To be played at Manuka Oval

This clash will take place at Manuka Oval on Friday night to commence the round. These teams currently hold inverse records with GWS having the sole win to their name compared to the Saints 4. St Kilda have been a real surprise packet this season having now won four straight after beating the Suns last round. In a big boost to GWS chances Toby Greene looks set to return from suspension. Saints are running hot though.

Bulldogs ($1.28) vs Crows ($3.75)

  • Both got much needed wins last round
  • Both hold 2-3 records
  • Bulldogs won 3 straight against the Crows with an average margin of 46.7 points!

The Bulldogs were dominant for most of their Good Friday clash with North Melbourne, although they were outscored in the 2nd quarter 32-13 they ran away 139-71 victors. The Crows took care of Richmond thanks mainly to Tex Walker’s 5 goal display. The Doggies have a good recent record against the Crows and considering the average margin in their last three against them is 46.7 points, we can chime into the 40+.

Port ($1.36) vs Eagles ($3.10)

  • Tough start to 2022 for both these two
  • Sitting 18th and 16th on the ladder respectively
  • One of them will get a much-needed win!

Not exactly an exciting clash for any neutral fans but the supporters of one of these teams will be cheering a victory. West Coast have had an interrupted start to the season but they were humiliated last round by Sydney. The Power on the other hand have now suffered 3 defeats this season by a margin of 2 goals or less. Surely The Power can get the job done here.

Fremantle ($1.65) vs Carlton ($2.25)

  • Both with 4 wins from 5 to start the season
  • Lid well and truly off for Carlton fans!
  • Taberner a career-best 7 goals last round
  • Blues nearly threw it away last round

Whilst Carlton got the win last round against Port, they will be bitterly disappointed with their second half performance when held to just 2 goals and nearly blowing a 50 point lead. Carlton have failed to kick more than 3 goals in the second half during their last 3 matches, this is now a worry. Freo on the other hand have kept their opponents goalless in a quarter in their last four matches. Freo can cover the line.

Nth Melb ($5.20) vs Cats ($1.16)

  • Cats take the trip to Tassie
  • Cats would like last week’s game again
  • Geelong won 8 straight against the Kangas

Blundstone Arena hosts this clash where the Cats will be looking to atone for a poor performance on Easter Monday that saw them drop a game to the Hawks. Of big concern was the Cats backline that conceded multiple goals to Hawthorn forwards. Both are looking to bounce back and have shown they can but a 31.5 line looks too big to me.

Suns ($3.20) vs Lions ($1.35)

  • First Q-Clash of the year an important one
  • The lions just held on after giving up a healthy lead
  • Suns failing to close out games
  • Lions can be slow starters

The first Q-Clash of the year shapes as an important contest for both teams, as well as the usual bragging rights up north. The Lions got the job done against the Pies last Thursday but there is still plenty of work to be done. The Suns have managed to start fast in a few games but lack the ability to see out the 4 quarters. Lions to run over the top of the Suns late.

Richmond ($4.10) vs Melbourne ($1.24)

  • Richmond up and down
  • Dees absolutely flying!

This Sunday night clash is usually a great spectacle and expecting nothing less. Richmond have been mixing their form but it’s fair to say they are well below the glory days of previous years. Melbourne on the other hand, keep firming in premiership betting and as the season progresses it gets harder and harder to see the Dees not winning the flag again. Dees to make another statement.

Hawthorn ($2.30) vs Swans ($1.62)

  • The evolution of Buddy
  • 1st of the ANZAC Day doubleheaders!
  • Cracking game from Tassie

Sydney’s last visit against the Hawks in Tassie was back in 2012 when they came out victors. The Swans have taken care of North & West Coast in consecutive weeks and come into this full of confidence. The Hawks were easily the better team last week and were rewarded with a win, they’ll be up and about too! Finding really hard to split these two and considering the game is in Tassie, I’ll take the Hawks with the start.

Bombers ($2.75) vs Pies ($1.46)

  • Always a great spectacle
  • Bombers desperate to keep their season alive
  • A packed MCG with plenty on the line
  • Bring it on!

The Bombers have been woeful this season and you would expect them to come out full of energy to try and keep their season alive on such a big occasion. Collingwood have concerns of their own but they showed grit and determination last week against the Lions that they can build on for this. Until the Bombers show a pulse, you just have to bet against them.

Good luck & good punting!

*All prices and lines are correct as of the time of writing & are courtesy of Ladbrokes, who are offering $2 lines on Friday & Sunday games during Round 6. T&C’s apply, check their website for more details.

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