It’s been a miserable few weeks weather wise lately but luckily for the punters the Guru has been “on a heater” to keep us warm during this last month of winter. With Ladbrokes $2 lines fuelling the flames, he has another scorching set of tips to keep the hot streak going. Burn baby burn, Guru inferno!
3 units NZ Warriors +18.5 @2.00
3 units North Qld Cowboys +8.0 @2.00
2 units Parramatta Eels -11.5 @2.00
2 units Brisbane Broncos +16.5 @2.00
2 units Roosters Win/Parra Win/Bulldogs +12.5 @2.60
NRL Round 14 Match Previews
Sydney Roosters vs Melbourne Storm
Assessed Line: Roosters -6.0
Ladbrokes: Roosters -5.5
The two best teams of the last decade meet Thursday night in a clash that has seen them split their last 4 games a piece, with 6 of those 8 decided by less than 4 points. However, both outfits are severely weakened by injury and the Storm fare worst of all missing a lot of firepower without their “twin Cam engine” of Smith and Munster. For that reason alone, the Roosters should be too good at the SCG.
New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers
Assessed Line: Warriors +12.5
Ladbrokes: Warriors +18.0
A Nathan Cleary led Penrith have been simply sublime in 2020 and are on an amazing 8 game winning streak. Even more remarkably the Warriors have now won 2 in a row – a rare feat for them indeed! Newly appointed coach Todd Payten is getting the best out of this hotchpotch New Zealand side and there is no reason why they won’t be competitive again. Highly doubt they can win but back on their favoured Central Coast and with a slight chance of showers the big plus comes into play. VALUE.
Parramatta Eels vs StGeorge/Ill Dragons
Assessed Line: Eels -14.5
Ladbrokes: Eels -11.5
Parramatta will relish returning to their fortress at Bankwest on a dry track against a Saints side who have begun to struggle again in recent weeks, putting coach McGregor back under pressure. The Eels have won 9 of their last 10 against St.George, the only loss being by 2 points at Wollongong. Hard to see them getting beaten again, the only concern being a 5 day back up off a slogging win in atrocious conditions last week. Even so, the minus is very tempting.
Cronulla Sharks vs Gold Coast Titans
Assessed Line: Sharks -9.5
Ladbrokes: Sharks -9.5
This promises to be a highly entertaining clash between two rejuvenated teams in recent weeks. Titans coach Holbrook is forming a great squad who are improving each round and building for a great year in 2021 with new big name recruits on the way. The Sharks guided by the enigmatic but in form Shaun Johnson should prove a little too classy at this stage but the line is spot on.
North Qld Cowboys vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
Assessed Line: Cowboys +4.0
Ladbrokes: Cowboys +8.0
The Cowboys have won only 1 of their last 10 matches and arguably hit rock bottom losing to Qld rivals Gold Coast last week. I suspect new coach Hannay’s harsh but fair statement that they “did the jersey and the club a disservice” will inspire them against the Rabbitohs. They will be benefited by Michael Morgan having a game under his belt, the return of Drinkwater and further aided by home ground advantage. Obviously a risky proposition on current form against a solid Souths outfit but my gut says this will be close. Cowboys VALUE.
Canberra Raiders vs Brisbane Broncos
Assessed Line: Raiders -13.5
Ladbrokes: Raiders -16.5
It’s no secret that Brisbane have been an absolute shambles this year, with things becoming more farcical this week. However I put this down to one obvious reason – their coach. Seibold has single-handedly destroyed the Broncos, not just in 2020 but into the future. How he hasn’t been sacked is a miracle, and a disgrace! Their only recent win was when the players trained without him and now that he is disposed due to a “family matter” I feel this will only benefit them again. With possible showers in the nation’s capital, I’m sensing a tighter contest than the line suggests.
Newcastle Knights vs Manly Sea Eagles
Assessed Line: Knights -7.5
Ladbrokes: Knights -7.5
The Knights decimated a poor Tigers side last week and remain at home against an injury ravaged Sea Eagles team who have won only 2 of their past 7 matches, most recently having a disappointing home loss to the Warriors. They welcome back a few missing players from last week but lose Fonua-Blake and sadly it’s still a simple case of no Turbo Tom, no Manly. No meat on the bone to bet though.
Wests Tigers vs Canterbury Bulldogs
Assessed Line: Tigers -6.0
Ladbrokes: Tigers -6.5
Hardly a blockbuster to finish the weekend. Two teams in poor form, each having won only 1 of their past 5 matches, the Dogs now missing their halfback and the Tigers again without rising star Harry Grant. The only positive here is that 1 side will secure a much needed win, though a draw would not surprise! A see-sawing close affair is on the cards.
Good luck and great punting,
Punt Club NRL Guru