April 27, 2022

Round 7 Preview

Some interesting clashes this round with Richmond trying to overcome consecutive losses against a struggling West Coast on Friday night, which is followed by arguably the game of the round on Saturday – The Dockers v Cats from Geelong. The top 8 clash of the Swans hosting the Lions from the SCG should be a cracker too… Let’s get down to it shall we..

Eagles ($2.30) vs Tigers ($1.64)

  • West Coast really struggling
  • Lost 3 of last 4 by 55+ margins
  • Dusty back at Punt Rd
  • Tigers looking to snap a 2 game losing streak

The Tigers put in an ok first half against the Dees last week but were probably lucky to not lose by more, giving the Demons 17 extra scoring shots. West Coast were humiliated last week in an 84 point thumping. In some light of hope for the Eagles, Richmond have lost their last 2 trips to Optus, but it’s hard to see West Coast turning it around.

Cats ($1.30) vs Dockers ($3.50)

  • Geelong in Geelong
  • Dockers looking to prove themselves top 4 worthy
  • Jeremy Cameron fresh off a 7 goal haul

The Cats showed how dominant their forward line can be with a 60 point thumping of North Melbourne last week, atoning for their Easter Monday loss to Hawthorn. The jury is still out on whether the Dockers are a genuine top 4 hope and we’ll certainly know more after this. Geelong at home is no easy feat. But you know what, I reckon Freo can win this and prove top 4 worthy.

Crows ($1.62) vs GWS ($2.30)

  • Crows won last 2 – GWS lost last 3
  • Walker kicked 12 goals in 3 games since coming back from suspension
  • GWS worst start to a season since 2013

Two teams trending in opposite directions, the Crows beat Richmond and upset the Bulldogs last week to make it two in a row. Whilst GWS have lost their last 3 and slump to a 1-5 record – their worst start to a season since 2013. Grim times for the boys from Western Sydney and things get no easier taking on the Crows in Adelaide. Tex Walker has now kicked 12 goals in 3 weeks.

Melbourne ($1.22) vs Hawthorn ($4.25)

  • Can anyone beat Melbourne?
  • Dees will want to improve accuracy in front of goal
  • Hawks have shown they can score fast
  • Good teams win, great teams cover

The Dees would’ve addressed their inaccuracy in front of goal at training this week and expect them to really run away with this one. Although, a Covid scare has gone through the team and it’s unsure who is out at present, I’m tipping it isn’t significant… Hawthorn kicked just 3 goals after the main break after starting fast against the Swans. Melbourne to win well (as long as not half a team missing with Covid)…

Carlton ($1.24) vs Nth Melb ($4.10)

  • Carlton 0-2 on the road but 4-0 in Vic
  • Kangas flogged at the hands of Geelong
  • Last round Carlton had 5 players with 30+ disposals
  • And like the poor little piggy – the Kangas had none

On paper, this contest looks clear cut. North takes another disappointing loss, and Carlton bounces back with a convincing win. In this fixture last year, however, it was the Kangas who defied the odds and belted the Blues to the tune of 39 points! Does history repeat or do Crippa and his boys get back on track? I’ll back Crippa and the boys.

Saints ($1.58) vs Port ($2.35)

  • Saints take the home game to Cazaly’s Stadium in Cairns
  • Saints with a picket fence
  • Port with a much needed win last round

Conditions will feel a million miles from home when the Saints host Port from Cazaly’s Stadium in Cairns. The weather will be hot and humid and the locals will be rowdy, as they say; get on the cans in Cairns. It was warming to see Port get on the board last week with a thumping win over West Coast, but, the Saints aren’t the battler from the West – they’re a good footy team as was highlighted by their win over GWS last round. Saints to continue on their winning ways.

Pies ($1.48) vs Suns ($2.65)

  • Pies back in the top 8. Just.
  • Back to back losses for the Suns
  • Suns have scared Dees & Saints
  • Can the Suns put 4 quarters together?

After a narrow victory over the Dons in an epic Anzac Day match in front of 80 plus thousand fans, the Pies return to the G and face a plucky Suns outfit that have shown they cannot be underestimated. The task is made more difficult with Grundy out injured – who can stop GC’s Jarrod Witts in the ruck? Both clubs need this one and I’ll back either team to win by less than 15.5 points.

Bulldogs ($1.38) vs Bombers ($3.05)

  • Dons narrow loss on Anzac Day
  • Bulldogs need to get season back on track

To say this is a must-win for both clubs is an understatement. The Dons were gallant on Anzac Day, but unfortunately, that will do little to appease the Bomber faithful. They come up against the Dogs who had any momentum they were building snuffed out by the Crows last week and now face an uphill battle to even play finals, let alone challenge for the flag which they were heavily favoured to do preseason. Bulldogs 1-39.

Swans ($1.82) vs Lions ($2)

  • Cracking clash to end the round
  • Sydney big winners last week
  • Fagan labelled the Lions win last week as the best all season!

Top 8 clash of two genuine contenders for the flag and as the market suggests, there’s a bee’s you know what between them. It wasn’t all smooth sailing for Sydney in their 41 point win over the Hawks in Tassie, they gave up 5 unanswered goals but they have been mighty impressive. The Lions handled the Suns with relative ease last week in the first Q-Clash of the season with coach Fagan describing it as their best performance of the season. Lions to win.

Good luck & good punting!

*All prices and lines are correct as of the time of writing & are courtesy of Ladbrokes, who are offering $2 lines on Friday & Sunday games during Round 7. T&C’s apply, check their website for more details.

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