It’s been a tumultuous few weeks for both the Bulldogs coach and the Guru but confidence remains high at Punt Club headquarters. Ladbrokes’ amazing generosity continues with $2 lines on all matches and assured “full support of the board” the Guru has found a hatful of winners in Round 10.
5 units NZ Warriors +6.5 @2.00
3 units Sydney Roosters -10.5 @2.00
3 units Gold Coast Titans +18.5 @2.00
3 units Wests Tigers -5.5 @2.00
2 units Manly Sea Eagles +10.0 @2.00
NRL Round 10 Match Previews
Sydney Roosters vs Canberra Raiders
Assessed Line: Roosters -13.5
Ladbrokes: Roosters -10.5
The much anticipated Grand Final rematch played at the SCG to open proceedings this week. No doubt the Raiders have been waiting for this one all year, but with a team decimated by injury and missing many players from that 2019 defeat, they will need to produce a miracle to win, not helped by a 5 day back up after a tough clash with Melbourne. On top of that, the Roosters are in devastating form and actually welcome back Boyd Cordner and Brett Morris. Another big win is on the cards here. Roosters at the minus.
Melbourne Storm vs Gold Coast Titans
Assessed Line: Storm -15.5
Ladbrokes: Storm -18.5
The relocated Sunshine Coast Storm play their first “home” game and should be too classy for the Titans. They have beaten the Roosters and the Raiders in the past fortnight and will enjoy this much easier assignment. But despite lacking the talent of Melbourne, the Titans have ground out wins in 2 of their last 3 games. I don’t see this one being a blowout and the big plus is a must take.
Wests Tigers vs Brisbane Broncos
Assessed Line: Tigers -7.5
Ladbrokes: Tigers -5.5
The Tigers will relish their return to Leichhardt and its only fitting that Benji is back in the side to replace Reynolds. After 2 losses, they will be primed to get back in the winner’s circle and no doubt Brooks will fire up after being dropped to the bench. Brisbane finally broke their 6 games losing streak but that was against a woeful Bulldogs outfit and will face a stiffer test here away from home. With the return of key players delayed and the loss of captain Glenn, they will be hard-pressed to go back to back. Comfortable Tigers win.
StGeorge/Ill Dragons vs Canterbury Bulldogs
Assessed Line: Dragons -9.5
Ladbrokes: Dragons -8.5
The resurgent Dragons head to WIN Stadium full of confidence to face a team that is totally lacking in just that, not to mention points, and a coach! It’s hard to believe the Bulldogs beat the Saints 22-2 in round 4 this year but a lot has changed since then. After that defeat, many were calling for St.George coach McGregor to be sacked, but he has turned their fortunes around and ironically it was Dean Pay who “resigned” this week. The Bulldogs are a club who can lift under adversity and this game is all about their mental state. The line is spot on and no confidence to bet, Dogs could easily sneak a win – or lose by 40!
South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights
Assessed Line: Rabbitohs -0.5
Ladbrokes: Rabbitohs -1.5
In a round where the lines are all relatively large (and deservedly so), these 2 teams are easily the hardest to split. Souths have been progressing nicely, though still lacking a spark, and will be missing Latrell to suspension and Graham to injury. The Knights attack hasn’t exactly set the world on fire recently either and they will miss Saifiti upfront. To confuse matters, Newcastle dominated Souths when they entered the comp, winning 21 of their first 25 clashes but in recent times have lost 9 of their past 10 against the Rabbitohs. Hands-on heads for this one – no bet.
Manly Sea Eagles vs Parramatta Eels
Assessed Line: Sea Eagles +8.5
Ladbrokes: Sea Eagles +10.0
A traditional rivalry where Manly holds the overall edge but has only won 2 of their past 10 against the Eels including an unlucky 19-16 defeat earlier this year. Parramatta was below their best last week but still managed to win (the sign of a good team) and despite having to travel to “fortress Brookie” they face a depleted and struggling Sea Eagles side who just can’t seem to win a game without Turbo Tom. A desperate Manly will play this like a grand final and the big plus is worth a speck.
New Zealand Warriors vs Cronulla Sharks
Assessed Line: Warriors +2.5
Ladbrokes: Warriors +6.5
The Sharks finally faced some decent opposition and were blown off the park last week, whilst the Warriors looked in control before fading badly to lose to the lowly Titans. Once again the Warriors are on one of their inconsistent streaks going LWL and if this year is anything to go by they will produce a W this week. Bolstered by the return of Nikorima and Katoa they look strong against a Sharks side missing Moylan and Fifita. Even more importantly, they are essentially playing a farewell match for their departing players and will be the surprise packet this week. BEST BET OF THE ROUND.
Penrith Panthers vs North Qld Cowboys
Assessed Line: Panthers -14.0
Ladbrokes: Panthers -14.5
This has been an evenly matched contest in the past, but how things have changed in 2020. The Panthers have been impressive all year and scored a lazy 56 against the Sharks last week. Ominously for North Qld, they have conceded 42 points in EACH of their last 2 matches, will be without Valentine Holmes, and face the long trip to Penrith Stadium. The Panthers by plenty but no value in the current line.
Good luck and great punting,
Punt Club NRL Guru