Doomben Race 5 – G3 M. M. Pam O’Neil Stakes – 1600m
#1 Paradee – $3.70
Is first up after a 75 day spell, which is a negative, but she gets in so well at the weights under the set weights and penalties conditions. I’m not worried about the wide gate as Craig Williams can take his time crossing down to race outside Greysful Glamour, and from there Paradee can be too strong for these.
Doomben Race 7 – G1 Doomben Cup – 2000m
#5 Zaaki – $2.45
Rarely do I back horses this tight in the market and I went looking for something to beat him, I just kept coming back to him. The start will be the biggest concern but I expect James McDonald to ride this like the best horse in the race and be very positive early. Clearly the one to beat.
Doomben Race 8 – G3 BRC Sprint – 1350m
#1 Olmedo – $17
#2 Tofane – $9.50
Very tricky race with many chances. We’ll speck two horses at odds, one that will be on speed in Olmedo, and one that will get back and run on, in Tofane. Olmedo brings the best last start rating into this and looks suited by a fast run 1350m. Tofane wasn’t far from Zoutori last time when 2nd up and will appreciate a hot tempo and racing in this company.
Rosehill Race 7 – LISTED Lord Mayors Cup – 2000m
#10 He Runs Away – $26
#13 Knights Order – $17
Both He Runs Away and Knights Order come out of the Wagga Cup last start. Knights Order was first up and raced outside the leader on a fast pace. Knocked up late but is fitter here, gets Tim Clark and can dictate the speed. He Runs Away was three wide no cover in that race and should get a lovely run just behind the speed and can surprise at odds.
North Queensland Cowboys ($1.53) VS Newcastle Knights ($2.50) – QLD Country Bank Stadium
The Knights are really struggling for points without Kalyn Ponga and some of their defensive efforts in the middle of the field have been poor. The Cows can have success against a side down on troops and confidence.
Suggested Bet – North Queensland Cowboys -6 @ $2
Sydney Roosters ($1.11) VS Brisbane Broncos ($6.50) – SCG
Pretty keen on the Roosters. They will be well drilled to combat the NRL crackdown on high contact and with Lachlan Lam back they can threaten on both sides of the field. Teddy will test the Broncos middles under fatigue and this looks like a game that could be over quickly. Bet of the round.
Suggested Bet – Sydney Roosters -21.5 @ $1.90
Geelong Cats ($1.06) VS Gold Coast Suns ($9.25) – GMHBA Stadium
Gold Coast have a particularly poor record playing here, having lost their last six at this venue by a massive average margin of 78.3 points. This could get ugly.
Suggested Bet – Geelong Cats -45.5 @ $1.90
GWS Giants ($2.30) VS West Coast Eagles ($1.62) – GIANTS Stadium
GWS will look to keep their top 8 chances alive with a win over the Eagles who will be looking to improve on their away record. At home, and showing promising signs of improvement, this looks to be a game the Giants can win.
Suggested bet – GWS Giants +8.5 @ $1.90