Doomben Race 6 – LISTED Brisbane Quality – 1640m
#4 Countofmontecristo – $26/$6 & #9 Matowi – $21/$5
Really open race and likely soft track makes this a difficult race to access. These two look over the odds and worthy of each way plays. Countofmontecristo resumed at Newcastle in The Hunter and worked home OK on a day where it was tough to make ground. Better suited here and his best is more than good enough to win. Matowi is a Waller runner who can mix his form, was well beaten last start by Ligulate but from the soft draw and back at Doomben, he can run well at big odds. Will be a big start to the weekend if we can get one of these up!
BACK COUNTOFMONTECRISTO & MATOWI EACH WAY
Randwick Race 4 – LISTED Christmas Cup – 2400m
#4 Herman Hesse – $2.50
He was very brave in defeat last start and he looks poised to go one better in this. He’ll race up on speed and make his own luck. In one of, if not the best, staying stables in Australia and 2nd run at 2400m this prep should suit perfectly. Use your ODDS BOOST if you can.
ODDS BOOST HERMAN HESSE TO WIN THE XMAS CUP
Randwick Race 7 – LISTED Razor Sharp – 1200m
#6 Vulpine – $6.50/$2.25
She had all the favours last start when winning but that win was no fluke. She’s been racing really well and no reason she can’t go back to back in this. Will race up on speed and give a kick in the straight. Ripping each way bet.
BACK VULPINE EACH WAY
Randwick Race 8 – G2 Villiers Stakes – 1600m
#6 Ellsberg – $4.80/$2.10
He was very good last start and being lightly raced he looks to have continual improvement in him. There doesn’t look to be a heck of a lot of speed for a Group 2 and if he’s left alone in front he’ll give an almighty kick. It’s a fairly open race but he’s the one they all need to run down. Each way again.
BACK ELLSBERG EACH WAY IN THE VILLIERS
Morphettville Race 8 – LISTED Xmas Handicap – 1200m
#6 Rock The Ring – $2.40
He’s clearly the one to beat and a deserving favourite. He bolted in two starts ago before being forced to race wide without cover on a hot speed last start, and he was very brave when narrowly missing. Draws gate 3 and gets a soft run, he looks the best of the day anywhere in Australia. Load up!
LOAD UP ON ROCK THE RING!
Flemington Race 7 – LISTED Kensington Stakes – 1000m
#10 Zipping Boy – $10/$3.20
Looks a nice race for Zipping Boy to return in. 2 starts ago he bravely held off Express Pass and that form looks really good now after it won a Listed Race (and ran well in Group races) since. He’ll jump and run and might be in the best part of the track. Keen to play each way at double figures.
BACK ZIPPING BOY EACH WAY IN THE KENSINGTON STAKES
Ascot Race 8 – LISTED G.A. Towton Cup – 2200m
#2 Dig Deep – $26/$6 & #8 Taxagano – $26/$6
The two Peters runners have come up favourites and they look under the odds currently. Dig Deep & Taxagano both get weight relief from their last start and considering how even this race looks, it can see them right in the finish if they run up to their last start performances. Something each way.
BACK DIG DEEP & TAXAGANO EACH WAY
CRICKET – BIG BASH
Melbourne Stars ($1.95) VS Sydney Thunder ($1.85) – MCG
Melbourne Stars to win – $1.95 & Glenn Maxwell to be Stars top run scorer – $4
The Stars were woeful in their opening game but back to the MCG and the likelihood of a stronger side (Andre Russell & Coulter-Nile), they can bounce back quickly. The Thunder won their opener against The Heat, who were hopeless. Glenn ‘The Big Show’ Maxwell rarely misses out twice in this format and expect him to lead from the front. Take the Same Game Multi if you like.
BACK THE STARS TO WIN & MAXI TO SCORE MOST RUNS
Sydney Sixers ($1.67) VS Hobart Hurricanes ($2.20) – SCG
Same Game Multi – Sydney Sixers to win / Moises Henriques to score 15+ runs – $2.37
The Sixers play The ‘Canes again just a few days after their first clash which Sydney won by 14 runs. I’m expecting something similar as The Sixers are clearly the team to beat again this tournament. Henriques plays a crucial role in the middle order and we’ll multi these two up.
TAKE THIS SAME GAME MULTI
Houston Texans ($3.50) VS Seattle Seahawks ($1.30) – NRG Stadium
Houston Texans +7.5 @ $1.90
Seattle overcame a 49ers team that dead set stank it up and threw away a win last week. I’m not convinced The Seahawks are going that well, their first TD last week was from a special teams fake punt that saw Homer run for 73 yards to score. That was the difference between the two. Houston haven’t set the world on fire this season and were shut out by the Colts last week, but the week prior they got within 1 TD of the Jets and teams have a strong record the week after a shutout. Seattle have also failed to cover the line in 4 of their last 5 games as favourites. Keen to take the Texans with the start.
TAKE THE HOUSTON TEXANS +7.5