Caulfield race 2 – Open Handicap – 1100m
#6 Dickin Medal – $9/$2.5
I normally avoid horses with Jamie Kah jumping off but his last start was much better than it looked, they walked in front and nothing could run on out-wide all day. Kah has jumped on the fav and no real knock on it but we’re getting the same price for the place about Dickin Medal as we are about Deep Speed to win. These look a really even bunch and with the inside draw Dickin Medal can run on today and finish top 3. Have more on the place.
Caulfield race 8 – G3 Sir John Monash Stakes – 1100m
#10 Malkovich – $2.60
Always enjoy this race because it means Spring is not far away! Malkovich gets the services of J Kah today and if by some turn of bad luck she hasn’t cracked the ton yet, this could be the one. Sat wide without cover last start and blew them away, goes up in class but has the speed to cross down and sit on speed, he’s the horse on the upwards trajectory and looks well suited to handle the rise in class. Use your ODDS BOOST if you can.
Randwick race 6 – BM78 Handicap – 1100m
#3 Hulk – $3.40
He doesn’t win out of turn but this looks like his race. He never got out last start until the race was all over. Gets JMac, who will need to find cover early and the right backside to follow turning for home, but with even luck he can run over these.
Doomben race 6 – BM72 Handicap – 1600m
#12 Mahussey – $7.50/$2.60
Went around favourite 2 starts ago in Toowoomba and never got a crack at them. Last start, the run was full of merit when chasing a smart one home gallantly to just miss. Most of these have similar formlines and they look a really even bunch, Mahussey brings different formlines and I love Fraad going on. Back up to the mile suits and should get a cosy run in transit. Looks a great each way bet..
Manly Sea Eagles ($1.22) VS Canberra Raiders ($4.40) – 4 Pines Park (Brookvale)
Manly have been one of the form teams of the comp recently but they have two notable outs to Origin – DCE and Turbo. The Raiders have been abysmal of late and they also lose key players in Papalii and Wighton to Origin, Simonsson and Whitehead to injury. This will be a bludger but I have to oppose Canberra the way they are playing. Confidence is low, something on Manly at the minus.
Suggested Bet – Manly Sea Eagles -15.5 @ $2
Canterbury Bulldogs ($7.50) VS Sydney Roosters ($1.09) – Bankwest Stadium
Both are coming off humiliating defeats but the Roosters look most likely to be able to turn things around quickly. They were blown off the park in the first half against the Storm and are extremely unlikely to face such opposition in this. The Chooks welcome back Victor The Inflicter and even with their Origin stars (Chrichton and Teddy) missing, they look to have too much fire power for a Dogs side that have been awful all season.
Suggested Bet – Sydney Roosters -21.5 @ $1.90
Port Adelaide ($1.72) VS Melbourne ($2.15) – Adelaide Oval
Pretty keen to be with Port Adelaide in this. Melbourne have only managed 1 win from their last 3 and last time we saw them they went down to GWS at the MCG. Port easily overcame Hawthorn last fixture and they look to be building, they have won the last 3 games between these clubs with the last one being a demolition job – winning by 50 points.
Suggested Bet – Port Adelaide -4.5 @ $2
Carlton ($3.50) VS Geelong Cats ($1.30) – MCG
Geelong started the season slowly with injuries and Dangerfield’s suspension affecting their performances. They are the in-form team of the comp for mine, having won 7 of their last 8 matches. Carlton have managed to string two wins together but they will find this much tougher than Fremantle last fixture. The Cats are purring and ready to strike into a top 4 position.
Suggested Bet – Geelong Cats -18.5 @ $1.90
Euro 2020 Final
England v Italy – Monday 5am – Wembley Stadium
Italy have been very impressive all tournament and see no reason not to keep backing them, England were a bit lucky with a controversial penalty vs Denmark and will have the weight of the world on their shoulders. Let’s go, Azzurri!
Suggested Bet – Italy @ $2.90 in the Win-Draw-Win Market (to win in 90 minutes)
Suggested SGM – Italy / Andrea Bolletti Any Time Goalscorer @ $7.45