Good Couch Punting – Punt Club

Good Couch Punting

August 19, 2021

HORSES

Randwick Race 6 – G2 Silver Shadow Stakes – 1200m
#1 Four Moves Ahead – $2.90

She started $5 in both the Golden Slipper and Sires Produce at Group 1 level as a 2yo, whilst she was outclassed by the top liners, she has beaten the dangers in this field home. Not harshly treated under the set weights plus penalties conditions and two trials have been super in the lead up to this. Will roll forward and there doesn’t look much speed.

Randwick Race 7 – G3 Show County – 1200m
#3 Icebath – $14
#6 Prime Star – $5.50


I’ve always been under the impression that half a loaf of bread is better than none. We’ll have something on two chances. Icebath might potentially be the ‘best’ horse in the race, she all but won the Doncaster last prep. She resumes, her trial was a pass mark and I would have preferred a softer track, but she is right up to a race like this on class alone. Prime Star brings a different form line and his trial was outstanding, he’ll be in the finish.

Randwick Race 8 – G1 Winx Stakes – 1400m
#3 Cascadian – $11/$3.40
#9 Brandenburg – $41/$8


With the exception of Kolding, the entire field is first up, making this tricky to decipher. Very Elleegant will be nowhere near wound up for this, she might win on class alone, but looks too short for mine. Brandenburg finished last prep with a 4th behind Zaaki only beaten 1.8L, his two trials have been pretty good and he can run a race at huge odds. Cascadian won the Doncaster last prep, he had a very quiet trial but comes to hand quickly. Has the best turn of foot in the race and with Bowman on, he’ll run well at odds.  

Moonee Valley Race 8 – LISTED Carlyon Stakes – 1000m
#9 Miss Albania – $4.60

Tricky race to access. Ancestry might be too fast for them, but from the wide gate and only a fair trial, I’m happy to bet around. Miss Albania is a mare on the way up, like her jockey J Kah, and they could both be in for potentially huge seasons. Miss Albania is putting together a handy record and is up to a race like this. Some J Kah magic from the alley would help!

NRL

Friday

Penrith Panthers ($1.70) VS South Sydney Rabbitohs ($2.15) – Suncorp Stadium

The game of the round and a sneak peek at what finals footy will look like this year. The Bunnies got absolutely belted by Penrith earlier in the year but I think they are up to this now. Both teams will have finals footy on their mind but this should be a cracker and I’m happy to take the start. 

Suggested Bet – South Sydney Rabbitohs +2 @ $2

Saturday

Canterbury Bulldogs ($2.10) VS Newcastle Knights ($1.18) – Cbus Super Stadium

Newcastle is certainly not a team of mine, but they look to stack too much firepower in their backline to not put the Dogs away. If the Knight’s defence holds up they should be winning well, and let’s face it, they need to be if they want to play finals footy. 

Suggested bet – Newcastle Knights -16.5 @ $1.90

AFL

Friday  

Western Bulldogs ($1.65) VS Port Adelaide ($2.25) – Marvel Stadium

The Power come into this as underdogs but I think they are playing much better footy at present. They flogged Carlton last week, whilst the Dogs were deplorable against Hawthorn. The market has this wrong, backing Port Adelaide straight out. 

Suggested Bet – Port Adelaide @ $2.25

Brisbane Lions ($1.14) VS West Coast Eagles ($5.75) – Gabba

West Coast were awful for a good chunk of their clash against a depleted Fremantle last round. They now have to travel to the Gabba with their season on life support. The Lions Belted Fremantle a fortnight ago and since then belted Collingwood. At home and full of momentum the Lions will win well.

Suggested Bet – Brisbane Lions -36.5 @ $1.90