October 7, 2022

And just like that, Guineas Day is upon us. Before we know it we’ll all be tipsy on a Tuesday by lunchtime and cheering one home in The Cup. It goes without saying that Guineas Day is one of the best days on the racing calendar, with three Group 1’s and competitive racing all day. Let’s not forget Sydney either, it’s probably going to be wetter than my shirt after the walk from the car to the office, but there are still plenty of winners to be found.


Race 4 – LISTED Village Stakes – 1200m

#14 Zethus – $5/$2.10

We backed him last start when he bolted in and I see no reason to jump off now. He’s drawn wide but there will be plenty of speed up front and the Caulfield 1200m only has one turn, so being caught wide isn’t much of a disadvantage. He was gelded before last start and that looks to have gotten him back to his best. Jamie Kah sticks and the stable is airborne.

Race 5 – G2 Herbert Power Stakes – 2400m

#12 Saracen Knight – $4/$1.80

Hopefully, Jamie Kah is fresh off a win in the previous race and looking for back-to-back wins in this. Saracen Knight was super last start when chasing a hot speed and running away untouched at Mornington. He should get all the favours from gate 2 and a repeat of last starts performance is good enough to win this. 

Race 7 – G1 Might And Power – 2000m

#5 Mo’unga – $12/$2.70

Cox Plate dress rehearsal and it’s hard to see many of these being fully wound up a fortnight away from their Grand Final. One horse that will be at 100% though is the stablemate to Zaaki in Mo’unga. He was left flat-footed when they sprinted after deadset crawling in front last start, but picked himself up to run the faster last 200m of the race – which suggests he’s ready to peak here. Each way. 

Race 8 – G1 Caulfield Guineas – 1600m

#4 Millane – $20/$5.50

I’ve got no doubt that Golden Mile is the best horse in the race but he was very plain the last 200m in the Golden Rose and I’m not sure he’s crying out for the extra trip. If you think he runs the mile, back him! But I’ll be having a much smaller bet on Millane each way (with more on the place). He got flattened in the Golden Rose last start behind Golden Mile when he was working into the race. He still managed to pick himself up and take ground off Golden Mile in that and he looks one that will relish the mile. The gate is tricky but if he can overcome it, he’s a top 3 hope in an open race outside of the favourite. Each way. 

Race 9 – G1 Toorak – 1600m

#6 Hilal – $21/$5.50

If you’re willing to forgive his last start flop on a very heavy track at Caulfield, he wasn’t beaten far behind Anamoe when finishing alongside Hinged (who ran 3rd in the Epsom) the start prior. Craig Williams takes the ride and from gate 2 he’ll be able to get the run of the race. I Wish I Win deserves favouritism but from gate 13 he’ll need some luck and the $2.50 on offer looks short enough. Hilal each way.


Race 7 – G3 Gloaming Stakes – 1800m

#3 Williamsburg – $3.50

He was dominant last start and looks really well suited in this. He’s rock hard fit and on the quick backup (a good recipe for stayers) and he loves heavy ground. It will be a battle of attrition and he’ll be the strongest late. 

Race 8 – Silver Eagle – 1300m

#3 Startantes – $9/$3.10

Just when she looked set to burst through and be in the finish last start, the gap closed and she went to the line untested. Her only start on a heavy track was way back in her first prep but she was only narrowly beaten behind Hinged that day. I think she’ll get through the ground and she’s ready to explode in this after not having a lot of luck in her last couple. Each way.

Punt Club Crew

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