Guineas Day x2 – Preview & Best Bests – Punt Club

Guineas Day x2 – Preview & Best Bests

March 4, 2022

Hopefully, no more or only very little rain falls on Randwick as it would be a crying shame to lose the Randwick Guineas meeting. Flemington hosts the Australian Guineas meeting and that looks equally as enticing. We won’t let a bit of rain dampen our spirits this weekend but spare a thought for those doing it tough that have been affected by floods and heavy rain over the past week. Strength to you all!

Friday

Newcastle Race 7 – G3 Newcastle Newmarket – 1400m

#4 Aramayo – $8/$2.60

Hit and run mission on Friday in the Newcastle Newmarket with Aramayo. His run first up last prep when chasing Zaaki home was phenomenal and a replication of that run will have him winning. 2 trials have been very quiet but the booking of Bowman suggests he’s ready to rock and roll. Each way. 

Saturday

Flemington Race 4 – G3 Tressady Stakes – 1400m

#7 Bring The Ransom – $26/$6.50

Genuine excuses to her last two runs when flattened in the straight and 3 wide no cover last start. She maps well here from gate 3 and the Parr/Baker combo is to be respected travelling to Melbourne. She’s well over the odds in a typically open Fillies and Mares race.

Flemington Race 6 – G2 Blamey Stakes – 1600m

#10 Inspirational Girl – $3.90

Bit of a flashing light run last start when working home well in the Group 1 Orr Stakes. We’ve seen both Cascadian and Sierra Sue come out of that race and win since. The blinkers go on and there is a sense of timing about this run. Zaaki the obvious danger but first up at a mile with bigger fish to fry? Inspirational Girl can mow him down. 

Flemington Race 7 – G1 Australian Guineas – 1600m

#2 Captivant – $6.50
#8 Ranch Hand – $19

Taking a two-pronged attack into the Aust Guineas that have Anamoe form and betting around the favourites. Captivant gets a weight swing and Jamie Kah in his favour, looks set to peak 3rd up. Ranch Hand chased home Anamoe last start and comfortably held Captivant the start prior. Also 3rd up and always respect a Waller horse on grand final day. 

Randwick Race 3 – G2 Todman Stakes – 1200m

#5 Boyfriend – $8/$2.35

I’ve liked the way this colt has finished off his races thus far in his career. The 1200m looks ideal and the wet track might make this a test of the strongest late. Should get the run of the race and looks a great each way bet. 

Randwick Race 7 – G1 Canterbury Stakes – 1300m

#10 Lighthouse – $4.50

She was brave up on speed in the Group 1 Orr Stakes last start and that form should stack up here. Gets J Mac and the run of the race from the low draw. She’ll take some beating.

Randwick Race 8 – G1 Randwick Guineas – 1600m

#4 Coastwatch – $21/$4.20

Anamoe is the one to beat but odds-on is a bit skinny considering the small margin it beat Hilal last start. If he somehow got to $2.40 ish then have something on but the one over the odds, and the one I am keen on to run a place, is Coastwatch. Historically there hasn’t been much between him, Hilal and Converge. He deserves to be a similar price but is 3 times their price. He can roll forward and make his own luck. Lift him into a drum, Nash! 

Randwick Race 9 – G3 Ranvet Aspiration Qlty – 1600m

#8 Le Lude – $5.50/$2 

She was solid last start when chasing home Expat first up. Second up and fitter now. She’ll likely box seat and get the run of the race. Just needs to run up to her last start performance to be right in the finish.

Good punting!

Punt Club Crew

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