Sunshine Coast race 6 – G3 Winx Guineas – 1600m
#4 Not An Option – $16/$4.80
Fair to say that we won’t witness any champions like the horse the race is named in honour of (Winx) but it looks an open race with not much separating the field. Happy to have something on this Kiwi Colt with more on the place. Was very good first up when motoring late and that form has since stacked up through Palladas, then 2nd up may not have handled Eagle Farm (has failed there previously). A month between runs isn’t ideal but has trialled very well. The wide gate is another query but will be suited by the heavy conditions. Can run well at odds.
Sunshine Coast race 7 – LISTED Caloundra Cup – 2400m
#5 Flash Aah – $7.50/$2.20
He’s had a weird sort of prep for a 2400m slog in the wet, having won first up over 1000m 3 starts ago, but his Ipswich Cup run was very good and suggested to me that further ground wasn’t an issue. Goes well in heavy conditions and looks like getting the run of the race. No real knock on Stockman other than it being short enough at the current quote. At the prices happy to play Flash Aah each way.
Sunshine Coast race 8 – LISTED Glasshouse Hcp – 1400m
#1 Niccanova $6.50
#2 Emerald Kingdom $12
Backing the Stradbroke form through Tofane to be the strongest in this. Both these two come through that race and their runs were full of merit. Niccanova was forced to race in the worst part of the track and although drawn very wide in this, he looks the class horse and deserves topweight. Emerald Kingdom had to cover ground in the Stradbroke and worked too hard, could get decent run up on speed and is sure to run well.
Flemington race 7 – Mahogany Chall Final – 2500m
#7 Murrumbidgee River – $9/$2.80
Only won a maiden last start on the synthetic and is not only up sharply in distance, but also class, that said he looks like he can measure up in a race like this. In one of the best stables in AUS and Zahra jumps on. We saw most of this field get demolished by a horse coming off a maiden win and there doesn’t seem to be any stars amongst them. Looks like a real stayer in the making and I’ll go back the camp to get it right. Each way all day.
Sydney Roosters ($3.50) VS Melbourne Storm ($1.30) – McDonald Jones Stadium
The Storm have fled their base at the Sunshine Coast to escape Covid and are back in Melbourne, they then travel to Newcastle for this clash and will be doing a lot of travelling this week instead of training. The Roosters on the other hand have had time during the origin break to rest and recover some injured bodies. I’m expecting the Roosters to turn up here.
Suggested Bet – Sydney Roosters +12 @ $2
Newcastle Knights ($1.50) VS North Queensland Cowboys ($2.55) – McDonald Jones Stadium
Ponga finally makes his long awaited return from injury for the Knights, whilst the Cows will travel down without their coach who has to isolate for 14 days after coming into contact with a known Covid case. The Cows cancelled their training session on Wednesday and have had an interrupted prep and barring no positive tests, will fly down on game day. The Knights haven’t set the world on fire but they get their chance to win well here with Ponga back to boost their attack.
Suggested Bet – Newcastle Knights -5.5 @ $1.90
Gold Coast Suns ($4) VS Richmond ($1.25) – Marvel Stadiu
Richmond were very disappointing last round and they seemed to not handle the slippery surface at the MCG and were totally outplayed. The Suns are going awfully bad and back to Marvel, Richmond might find the conditions more favourable.
Suggested Bet – Richmond -25.5 @ $2
Melbourne ($1.20) VS GWS Giants ($4.60) – MCG
The Giants have been pretty poor on the road recently and they face a tough task coming up against a determined Melbourne side at the MCG. The Dees should be in control of this for the majority and can blow the margin out late if that’s the case.
Suggested Bet – Melbourne -29.5 @ $1.90
Soccer – Euro 2020 Quarter Finals (delayed due to Covid, getting to business time of the competition)
Saturday – 5am
Italy ($2.35) VS Belgium
Fancy the Azzurri here, they are in a rich vein of form, currently on a National record run of 31 games straight unbeaten. Belgium have some big injury concerns (Hazzad especially in doubt) and look a touch weakened ahead of the clash of two of Europe’s biggest football heavyweights.
Italy head to head at $2.35
Same Game Multi – Italy head to head / Immobile Anytime GoalScorer @ $4.89