Eagle Farm Race 1 – BM80 – 1810m
#12 The Dark – $21/$5
We’ll back this on a 1×4 basis, more the place. Last start The Dark was obliged to race 3 wide no cover on a very fast speed, the race rated very well for the day (only Zaaki’s Doomben Cup rated better) and this Gelding boxed on ok. Has previously beaten Traduce, who he meets again today and gets a 3KG weight swing. Does look over the odds and a great top 3 chance.
Eagle Farm Race 6 – LISTED Spear Chief Handicap – 1500m
#9 Goldifox – $8.50/$2.70
This mare looks ready to peak now 4th up and having her first run for the new stable (Toby Edmonds). Last start, got back as usual in a fast run race and really motored late to just miss out. That race rated very highly and with Craig Williams sticking and the open expanses of Eagle Farm, she can run a big race at odds. Each way all day.
Eagle Farm Race 7 – Magic Millions National Classic – 1600m
#4 In Good Health – $6.50
They showed the key to riding this mare last start – jump and run. She has a really high cruising speed and finds a race where there is no obvious leader outside of her. Jim Byrne can bounce her out and roll along with the drop back from 2000m, where she was strong at the finish, she can be too tough for these. Most fancies in the market map to be spotting her a big start in the straight.
Eagle Farm Race 8 – G1 Queensland Oaks – 2200m
#3 Bargain – $4.80
Pretty keen on Bargain here. She was good in the Australian Oaks 2 starts ago and then very good late last start in the main lead up to this race. She will benefit from that outing where she wobbled on the turn before picking herself up and running the best splits home. The open expanses of Eagle Farm should suit and from the good gate she can be very hard to beat.
Melbourne Storm ($1.10) VS Gold Coast Titans ($7) – Sunshine Coast Stadium
Melbourne should be able to take care of the Titans quite easily and the 22 point line looks about right. As we have seen with Melbourne lately, they can score very quickly and pile on the points, they also have lapses in defence. The Titans were awful last week and I expect them to leak points again, but I also expect them to attack better this week. Jump on the overs and cheer points, points and more points!
Suggested Bet – Total Points Over 49.5 @ $1.90
Newcastle Knights ($3.45) VS Parramatta Eels ($1.30) – McDonald Jones stadium
The Eels have conceded a stack of points in recent outings. They look well suited at the matchups with Newcastle down even more troops for this clash, whilst Parra welcome back a few. Shapes as being a fast game that is end to end and full of attack. Take the overs.
Suggested Bet – Total Points Over 47.5 @ $1.90
Sydney Swans ($1.36) VS St Kilda ($3.15) – SCG
Sydney get the advantage of playing at home where they are 5 – 0 playing against interstate opposition. The Saints were less than convincing when beating the struggling North Melbourne, this is a much stiffer assignment and they have to play in Sydney. The Swans can make this their 8th win of the season by winning well and getting one step closer to a top 8 finish.
Suggested Bet – Sydney Swans -19.5 @ $1.90