The NRL Guru is on an 8-week winning streak and when told of his fantastic run of late, he SUMMED it up nicely by saying “it’s been great and I COUNT on ADDING to that this week. In fact, I have TOTAL confidence in my selections.” Let’s hope he’s not feeling too NONPLUSSED with his selections come Sunday. Punt Club is expecting another A-PLUS tipping performance.
3 units Cronulla Sharks +17.5 @2.00
2 units Canterbury Bulldogs +16.5 @2.00
2 units North Qld Cowboys +14.5 @2.00
NRL Round 19 Match Previews
South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Canterbury Bulldogs
Assessed Line: Rabbitohs -13.5
Ladbrokes: Rabbitohs -16.5
South Sydney will hope to wrap up a top 6 spot against a Dogs outfit still desperately trying to avoid the wooden spoon. Both teams will be looking for an 80-minute performance after giving up big leads in recent weeks. Given that they also met in the 2014 Grand Final, this encounter should lack no intensity. The Rabbitohs have a clear class edge but the Dogs should show enough grit and determination to make the big plus a value bet.
North Qld Cowboys vs Penrith Panthers
Assessed Line: Cowboys +10.5
Ladbrokes: Cowboys +14.5
Penrith will be aiming to secure the minor premiership against a Cowboys team playing for pride. Once again the Panthers were super impressive last week and their winning streak looks set to continue. However, the Cowboys aimed right up against the Panthers earlier in the year and gave the league leaders a real scare. With Penrith resting Koroisau and Tamou, and Taumalolo named in the reserves North Qld will look to do the same again for their last home game of the year. Another big plus that represents value.
Parramatta Eels vs Brisbane Broncos
Assessed Line: Eels -18.0
Ladbrokes: Eels -18.0
A struggling Eels outfit need a big win on Friday night, not just to hang on to their top 4 spot but also to regain some much-needed confidence. The lowly Broncos aren’t clear of the wooden spoon just yet and will be looking for a win to guarantee their safety. However, Brisbane may be looking ahead to their clash with traditional rivals North Qld next week as a better winning chance and if Parramatta gets on the scoreboard early, the floodgates could open. The line is spot on.
Manly Sea Eagles Gold Coast Titans
Assessed Line: Sea Eagles TURBO??
Ladbrokes: Sea Eagles -6.0
Manly are at home to the Gold Coast in somewhat of a nothing match on Saturday afternoon. Both teams are well and truly out of finals and wooden spoon contention and will be looking ahead to 2021 only. Due to their horrific injury toll, Manly are on a massive slide downwards whilst the much-hyped Titans are headed in the complete opposite direction. Turbo Tom has been named in the reserves and the result hinges heavily on whether he plays or not. As a testament to his worth, I’d assess Manly -8.0 with him playing and the game 1.90 each of two without him. No bet.
Melbourne Storm vs Wests Tigers
Assessed Line: Storm -14.5
Ladbrokes: Storm -14.5
Melbourne will look to wrap up an all-important top 2 spot against a Tigers outfit who can only manage 9th at best, a position they’ve become all too familiar with and would probably prefer to avoid. The Storm wasn’t at their clinical best last week but didn’t need to be to dispose of the Cowboys by 16. A similar result is on the cards here but the bookies have priced the line correctly and there is no edge to bet.
Sydney Roosters vs Cronulla Sharks
Assessed Line: Roosters -12.0
Ladbrokes: Roosters -17.5
The powerhouse Roosters will be looking to maintain a top 4 spot against a Sharks team that will need a miracle to finish above 7th. Shaun Johnson has been a revelation in recent months but it’s going to take more than one man to give them a chance against a Roosters team laden with talent all over the park. However with Tedesco rested, Cronulla should be competitive and this will be closer than most anticipate. Sharks at the big plus BEST BET OF THE ROUND.
Canberra Raiders vs New Zealand Warriors
Assessed Line: Raiders -16.0
Ladbrokes: Raiders -16.0
The Raiders desperately need a win this week to keep their dreams of a top 4 spot alive whilst the Warriors finals hope officially ended last round. After a long, taxing season both physically and mentally, and with nothing now to play for, New Zealand is due for a huge letdown. Away from home and with their loan players returning to Parramatta, they are at the mercy of Canberra who could rack up a huge score against them. However, with the possibility of some early showers and a big line installed by the bookies, there’s just not enough meat on the bone to wager in this one.
Newcastle Knights vs StGeorge/Ill Dragons
Assessed Line: Knights -8.5
Ladbrokes: Knights -8.5
Newcastle must win this week to keep their faint top 6 hopes alive whilst once again the Saints are dreaming of Bali (aren’t we all!) well before the season is over. The Knights basically conceded defeat to the Roosters last week and that loss can be completely ignored. They welcome back key weapon Ponga amongst other rested players and will be primed for a big win. The downside is their poor recent record against the Saints (only 2 wins out of the last 10) and with the line spot on, it’s a no bet match to finish the penultimate round.
Good luck and great punting,
Punt Club NRL Guru