May 18, 2022

Round 11 Preview

Magic Round was a decent spectacle last week and credit to the Suncorp ground staff as the ground held up all weekend after torrential rain. This week we might see a few teams with heavy legs after playing a few weeks in a row on wet and soggy ground. The conditions look much brighter this week (fingers crossed), let’s get down to business, shall we!

Knights ($2.80) vs Broncos ($1.45)

  • Knights broke the losing streak
  • Broncs looking for 5 in a row
  • Will Gagai return?
  • Frizz is back
  • Reynolds in career best form

The Knights were able to break their losing streak by beating the Dogs last week, but they’re in for another thought night here up against one of the in-form teams in the comp. Adam Reynolds has had a huge impact on the Broncs, and off the back of his career best form, they’re a serious top 8 contender. The Knights are not.

Tigers ($1.60) vs Bulldogs ($2.35)

  • Baz sacked
  • Dogs battling form and now the flu
  • Tigers been big firmers
  • Luke Brooks out injured

A battle of the cellar dwellers – if there was ever a 6 PM Friday game, this is it! The Dogs dramatically sacked Baz during the week with Mick Potter to take over as caretaker, if that wasn’t enough, they now have the flu running rampant through their squad. Rumours are that the fox, Burto and Thompson are among those struck down with the flu. This has seen good money for the Tigers but they’re a basket case too. Big Luc looked to have been carrying a few niggles this season but he looks back to his damaging best and we’ll back him to score a try.

Eels ($1.36) vs Sea Eagles ($3.10)

  • Both sides inconsistent
  • Positional changes for both also
  • Manly shutout last week in a 38 nil thumping
  • Parra beat Penny then lose to Roosters

Parra set the NRL alight a fortnight ago when beating Penrith but were humbled by the Roosters last week during Magic Round. Inconsistency has been a common theme for the Eels for some time, their best is dynamite, but they rarely play to it. Manly were completely outclassed by Brisbane last week but they get a few troops back for this. CommBank on a Friday night is no easy task though. Parra to bounce back.

Dragons ($1.53) vs Warriors ($2.50)

  • Sloan dropped again, Ramsey FB
  • Both staring down 3 straight losses
  • Warriors been woeful at times
  • Dragons won 3 from last 5

The Warriors finally turned up late in the 2nd half against the Rabbitohs to make a game of it but they have been woeful at times lately. They lost to the Sharks who had 11 men for a chunk of the game and were blown off the park by a Bunnies team that had been struggling themselves. The Dragons aren’t exactly worldbeaters, as evidenced by their loss to the Titans last week. I have no faith in either and will back a few try scorers in multis. DWZ, Aitken, Bird all appeal.

Cowboys ($2.55) vs Storm ($1.52)

  • Mad Dog Munny in career-best form!
  • Few big outs for the Storm
  • Cows at full strength
  • Acid test for the Cows

The Cowboys have played some exceptional footy as of late, their defence in particular has been outstanding. That will get one of the best tests in the competition this week against Melbourne though. The Storm will be without Big Nelson as well as Pap but Hughes makes his return from a calf complaint. Munster has been one of the best players in the comp so far and will be hard to contain. That said, we’ll see where the Cows are at after this one. I think they’ll be up for the challenge.

Roosters ($3.75) vs Panthers ($1.28)

  • Penny back to their best after a hiccup
  • Roosters much better last week
  • We’ll see where the Chooks are after this

The Chooks got back to some ‘Rooster footy’ as they call it when beating Parra last week but face a much stiffer assignment against a Penny team fresh off thrashing Melbourne. I’m still not convinced on the Chooks and their combinations, no way Penny let Teddy run riot in this. Penny to run away with this.

Rabbitohs ($1.55) vs Raiders ($2.45)

  • Rabbits clung on last week
  • Raiders with back to back wins
  • Pressure mounting on Cody
  • Wighton returns

The Bunnies got the scare of their lives last week against the Warriors after looking like having the game won at half time. Their 2nd half was similar to many 40 mins of footy they have put together so far this season – clunky at best. Whilst there’s been signs of life at times, they look well below their best and the extended loss of Cam Murray unlikely to help. The Raiders are a big physical team and whilst they have had their own concerns this season, they can muscle up and win this game in the middle. Look for Wighton to run the ball in his return from suspension.

Titans ($2.75) vs Sharks ($1.46)

  • Sharks flat last week
  • Hynes back to halfback
  • Titans got a win last week

The Titans broke a losing streak when holding off the Dragons last week. That was a much needed win for the Titans who looked better with young Campbell back at fullback. The Sharks have been a shade flat at times over the last month but expect them to respond, led by their star recruit Nicho Hynes.

Good luck & good punting!

*All prices and lines are correct as of the time of writing & are courtesy of Ladbrokes, who are offering $2 lines on Thursday & Friday’s games during Round 11. T&C’s apply, check their website for more details.

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