Another cracking weekend of footy ahead (Monday excluded) so gather up your cardboard cutouts, turn up the fake crowd noise and prepare for a Cinderella story on the punt. Who better to get things back on track than the NRL’s fairytale team, and sentimental favourites, the NZ Warriors. Captained by none other than Roger Tuivasa-SHREK. they’ll be ready to DONKEY-lick their opponents this week.
5 units NZ Warriors +6.5 @1.90
2 units MULTI Brisbane +13.5 / Parramatta win @2.40
2 units Newcastle Knights +7.5 @1.90
2 units Total Points Under 39.5(Bulldogs-Dragons) @1.90
Total outlay: 11 units
NRL Round 4 Match Previews
Brisbane Broncos vs Sydney Roosters
Assessed Line: Broncos +7.5
Ladbrokes: Broncos +9.5
Further depleted by injuries and coming off a blowout loss doesn’t augur well for the Broncos but they are suited by back to back home games and will be desperate to bounce back and get a win on the board before they venture interstate next week. Still not convinced of the Roosters quality and doubt this will be as easy for them as bookies expect.
Penrith Panthers vs New Zealand Warriors
Assessed Line: Panthers -3.5
Ladbrokes: Panthers -6.5
Shocked that Penrith has come up so short in this match as they are sorely missing Cleary at halfback. Warriors were very solid last week and under the current circumstances have galvanized as a team. With that win will come newfound confidence. Even worse for the Panthers, they are on the quick 5-day backup after a physical encounter going the full extra time. Warriors are the BET OF THE ROUND.
Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
Assessed Line: Storm -6.5
Ladbrokes: Storm -7.5
It’s very rare that the Storm loses 2 in a row (especially at home) and no doubt Bellamy would have torn strips off them after last week’s loss. Souths are still down on troops, traditionally struggle against the Storm and face a daunting task ahead but will be desperate not to sink to a 1-3 start. The betting looks spot on and there is no significant betting edge to be found in this one.
Parramatta Eels vs Manly Sea Eagles
Assessed Line: Eels -4.0
Ladbrokes: Eels -3.5
Without doubt, the match of the round and I’m surprised the bookies have gone up to such a generous price for the Eels. Both teams are laden with talent and looked impressive last week but I sense something special with this Eels outfit. Back at “Fortress Parra” (albeit crowd less), they will definitely have the edge and I’m predicting they keep their undefeated record intact.
North Qld Cowboys vs Cronulla Sharks
Assessed Line: Cowboys -2.5
Ladbrokes: Cowboys -3.5
North Queensland are moving along nicely this year, keeping under the radar, whilst the Sharks remain winless, though they are a better side than that suggests. Both teams are missing key halves for this one but the loss of Taumalolo will have the biggest impact. The Cowboys deserve slight favouritism at home but not nearly enough edge or confidence to have a bet on this match.
Canberra Raiders vs Newcastle Knights
Assessed Line: Raiders -6.0
Ladbrokes: Raiders -7.5
Two undefeated teams go head to head in what should be a great litmus test for the Knights. They have been impressive so far this season, including a resilient performance last week against all odds, but have yet to face a team of the Raider’s calibre. With McCullough to replace Watson, Pearce named (pending HIA protocols), and Ponga back, they will push the Raiders all the way. VALUE.
Gold Coast Titans vs Wests Tigers
Assessed Line: Titans +6.5
Ladbrokes: Titans +7.5
This is a genuine trap match. Wests have an improved team this year with plenty of attacking ability (averaging over 24 points per game) against a team that struggles to score (averaging only 6). However, Gold Coast boasts a great record against the Tigers – a team renowned for losing matches they should win. But how can you possibly get excited about a Titan’s team that hasn’t won for a year now?! No thanks.
Canterbury Bulldogs vs StGeorge/Ill Dragons
Assessed Line: Bulldogs -1.5
Ladbrokes: Bulldogs $1.90
Things go from bad to worse for the public holiday Monday “blockbuster”! The return of Foran is a huge boost for the lacklustre Dogs who improve dramatically when he is in their side. But what to make of the Dragons?! An under-pressure McGregor has reshuffled his team again – polished a turd more likely. Two winless teams, both with little attacking flair, would suggest a low scoring match.
Good luck and great punting,
Punt Club NRL Guru