NRL Round 12 – Punt Club

NRL Round 12

May 26, 2021

We’re up for another round of ‘V’landys Lotto’, who knows how many players will stay on the park. We need to find a market for sin bins and send offs but until then I think we’ll pile into the overs!

Ladbrokes have $2 lines for Thursday and Friday’s games.

Thursday

Brisbane Broncos ($7.50) VS Melbourne Storm ($1.09) – Suncorp Stadium

The 20 point line looks about right to my eye. We might attack the total and back over 50.5 points with the theory being that Melbourne have the ability to pile on points very quickly but have also leaked a few soft tries. A few send offs might help.

Suggested Bet – Total Points Over 50.5 @ $1.90

Friday

North Queensland Cowboys ($2.02) VS New Zealand Warriors ($1.78) – QLD Country Bank Stadium

Should be a good game of footy. I didn’t have a lot between these two as the market suggests. This game might be a bit of an arm wrestle early but expect it to open right up. Factoring in ‘foul play’ these days is crucial and this looks like a game where we’ll see a bin or two. Take the overs.

Suggested Bet – Total Points Over 49.5 @ $1.90

Wests Tigers ($1.50) VS St George Illawarra Dragons ($2.55) – Bankwest Stadium

Both these sides have shown themselves to be undisciplined throughout the season and with the new interpretations of the rules, I think we can expect a few binnings or send offs. I lean to the overs, unpredictable who will be better favoured in regards to send offs…

Suggested Bet – Total Points Over 50.5 @ $1.90

Saturday

Penrith Panthers ($1.01) VS Canterbury Bulldogs ($15) – BlueBet stadium

I can’t recall a line this big ever, well not since that time I snuck backstage at the Logies, but that’s another story…Seriously though, how do the Dogs score against Penrith? This could get very ugly if Nathan Cleary plays anywhere near 80 minutes. 

Suggested Bet – Penrith Panthers -34.5 @ $1.90

South Sydney Rabbitohs ($1.72) VS Parramatta Eels ($2.10) – Stadium Australia

Both sides leaked plenty of points last week and both will be desperate to bounce back here. This will be a tough physical game with defence the key driver but that will bring about problems from the officials. Both sides will go out there with the intention of defending but this game will open right up. Count the tries and count your cash. 

Suggested Bet – Total Points over 50.5 @ $1.90

Sydney Roosters ($1.28) VS Canberra Raiders ($3.70) – Central Coast Stadium

What’s going on in Canberra? – Can mean a couple of things at present and neither of them are any good! It is hard to see Canberra sorting out their mess anytime soon and the Roosters could ill afford to have two origin players suspended. Another game where we will take the overs.

Suggested bet – Total Points Over 49.5 @ $1.90

Sunday

Cronulla Sharks ($2.20) VS Gold Coast Titans ($1.67) – Coffs International Stadium, Coffs Harbour

The Titans welcome back big David Fifita. The Sharks played in an absolute bludger of a game last week and somehow won thanks to a Chad Townsend field goal and as a reward he’s been dropped. This is a game the Titans need to be winning and winning well if they wish to play finals footy. Bet of the round!

Suggested bet – Gold Coast Titans -3.5 @ $1.90

Newcastle Knights ($3.90) VS Manly Sea Eagles ($1.25) – McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle get some attacking ability back through the return of Ponga and Best, but their main concern is their defence, especially on the right edge and middle. Turbo can tear them to pieces out there but I am expecting the Knights to be vastly improved with Ponga back. Looks like a high scoring game, especially if the goal kickers bring their kicking boots. 

Suggested bet – Total Points Over 52.5 @ $1.90