PUTTING THE BITE ON THE BOOKIES – Punt Club

PUTTING THE BITE ON THE BOOKIES

August 20, 2020

The Guru’s been chomping at the bit all week and has really sunk his teeth into the form, dissecting every match for our punting pleasure. He’s bracing himself for some tooth and nail struggles but with any luck his Macleans will be showing Sunday evening after a successful round. These tips are definitely worth a nibble!

Suggested Bets:

2 units Parramatta Eels -4.0 @2.00

2 units Brisbane Broncos +10.5 @2.00

2 units Gold Coast Titans +10.5 @2.00

2 units Wests Tigers +6.5 @2.00

2 units Canterbury Bulldogs +2.5 @2.00

2 units North Qld Cowboys +8.5 @2.00

2 units Parra/Souths Win Multi @2.25

NRL Round 15 Match Previews

Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm

Assessed Line: Eels -6.5

Ladbrokes: Eels -4.0

Very intriguing match to open round 15. It’s no secret the Eels have been struggling of late. They now face a second straight short turnaround (5 days, then 6 days) and have won only 2 of their past 10 against Melbourne (beaten by a staggering combined 96 points to 10 in 2019). However, they have the benefit of playing at “fortress Parra” with a full strength squad against a VERY weakened Storm outfit, not only missing their “twin Cam” engine but the wheels have now fallen off with Hughes in doubt, Finucane, Vunivalu injured and Bromwich suspended. Eels are great value.

Penrith Panthers vs Cronulla Sharks

Assessed Line: Panthers -8.5

Ladbrokes: Panthers -9.5

What an outstanding Friday night clash! Penrith continue their sublime run of form with 9 consecutive wins – trying to predict their inevitable loss is now proving a little tricky. Meanwhile, the Sharks have won 4 of their last 5 since being demolished by the Panthers in round 9 and they will be keen to exact revenge after leaking an embarrassing 56 points in that match. No meat on the bone to bet but will be a brilliant game to watch.

Brisbane Broncos vs StGeorge/Ill Dragons

Assessed Line: Broncos +5.5

Ladbrokes: Broncos +10.5

Two of this seasons most disappointing teams go head to head in a Friday night fizzer. Saints are likely to face a huge let-down after their impressive farewell performance for outgoing coach McGregor and against any other team this week would most likely get beaten. However, the rabble that is the Broncos continues. Following another abysmal scoreless second half last week, further injuries and suspensions have made things even worse! However, the line is just too big not to bet and the Broncos back at Suncorp Stadium have sucked me in again.

Gold Coast Titans vs Canberra Raiders

Assessed Line: Titans +8.5

Ladbrokes: Titans +10.5

Last year’s surprise packets (and eventual Grand Final runners up) Canberra play a team who many believe will be next year’s big improvers and may push for a similar berth. Both sides are playing well but unfortunately the Titans are missing two of their big guns up front (lacking a bit of bite, you could say) and at this stage may not be up to the class of their opposition. However at home they represent some value at the big plus.

Wests Tigers vs Sydney Roosters

Assessed Line: Tigers +4.5

Ladbrokes: Tigers +6.5

It’s fair to say, the Tigers got away with one last week against the Bulldogs and have been in poor form lately. Ominously, they have only won 1 of their past 14 against the Roosters and that was a narrow 10-8 victory. However, smarting from a huge injury toll, the Roosters have been struggling also and for them are in a definite slump. Energised by a return to Leichhardt (where they demolished the Broncos 48-0) and basically playing their Grand Final, I think the Tigers will make this close enough to have a small wager.

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Manly Sea Eagles

Assessed Line: Rabbitohs -8.0

Ladbrokes: Rabbitohs -7.5

The Rabbitohs have been travelling under the radar recently, beating the teams below them, and are now on a handy 3 game winning streak. They face a desperate Manly side (who’ve been desperate for about 6 weeks now!) decimated by a crippling injury toll. After a brutal loss last week, I’m not sure if they can lift again to beat the Rabbitohs who should rack up four in a row and keep sneaking along nicely.

Canterbury Bulldogs vs New Zealand Warriors

Assessed Line: 1.90 each of two

Ladbrokes: Bulldogs +2.5

We’ve reached that time of the season where the current wooden spoon team always finds a way to win. In this case, it’s the Bulldogs who will be desperate to lift themselves off the bottom of the ladder. They have shown improved form lately and welcome back Hopoate and Averillo plus Lewis named in the reserves. The Warriors have also shown improved form lately but with little to play for I can’t have them favourites. Something on the Bulldogs at the price in this one.

Newcastle Knights vs North Qld Cowboys

Assessed Line: Knights -6.5

Ladbrokes: Knights -8.5

A very tricky clash to end round 15. Ironically, the Cowboys haven’t won a game since they beat the Knights in round 7 but in those 7 straight losses they’ve been somewhat competitive. This week they field their strongest team in that period and face a solid (but weakened) Knights side who have struggled with consistency all year. Much like last weekends Sunday games I expect this to go right down to the wire. The Cowboys represent a value bet to finish off a busy punting round.

Good luck and great punting,

Punt Club NRL Guru