Morphettville Race 5 – G2 Queen Of The South Stakes – 1600m
#1 In Good Health – $3.80
Comes out of two pretty handy form races when beaten behind Chaillot and then Quantum Mechanic. 41 days between runs is less than ideal but from the inside alley and the superior formlines, she should prove hard to beat.
Morphettville Race 6 – G2 Tobin Bronze Stakes – 1200m
#3 Ocean Beyond – $9
Unbeaten in two career starts when cruised in its maiden and then won the Listed Mckenzie Stakes at Moonee Valley. Has had time to mature in preparation for this campaign and shows a tonne of ability. Box seats from the alley and looks right up to this.
Morphettville Race 7 – G1 Robert Sangster – 1200m
#1 Flit – $10
#3 Subpoenaed – $10
Flit is absolutely airborne, no luck in the Newmarket and then mission impossible in the William Reid, if she drew an alley I’d declare her but hopefully Ollie can get cover and work some magic from the wide gate. Subpoenaed was huge last start when trapped off the track and looks set for this with ‘Frosty’ Lane taking the reins 3rd up.
Morphettville Race 8 – G1 Australasian Oaks – 2000m
#10 Flexible – $14
#12 Brookspire – $9
Flexible comes out of the Adrian Knox which I think might be a decent form race, Duais and Bargain ran one-two there and were both a bit unlucky in the Australian Oaks just behind Hungry Heart, so Flexible can run well here with Pike on board. Brookspire was very good last start, on the quick backup and this looks to have been the target this campaign.
Penrith Panthers ($1.19) VS Manly Sea Eagles ($4.60) – Carrington Park, Bathurst
With hooker Api Koroisau back, Penrith can play much more direct. They will be too fast for Manly and whilst Manly will try, they lack the talent outside of gun fullback Tommy Turbo, who won’t be able to dominate the Panthers as easily as he has other sides.
Suggested Bet – Penrith Panthers -14.5 @ $1.90
St George Illawarra Dragons ($1.33) VS Wests Tigers ($3.30) – WIN Stadium
I’ll be honest, this isn’t something I thought I would be saying at the start of the season, but I really like the Dragons here. The Tigers middle looks very brittle, especially with noted weak defender Ofahengaue named at lock. Dragons could have a field day, they should win well.
Suggested bet – St George Illawarra Dragons -10.5 @ $1.90
Richmond ($2.55) VS Western Bulldogs ($1.52) – MCG
Both teams have a few injury worries but none more so than the Tigers with Dusty sidelined. The Bulldogs are looking to stay undefeated in 2021 and I see no reason why that won’t eventuate.
Suggested Bet – Western Bulldogs -11.5 @ $2
St Kilda ($1.58) VS Hawthorn ($2.40) – Marvel Stadium
I’m surprised the Saints are so short here, they have looked well below their best the last 2 rounds where they have only kicked a combined 12 goals. The Hawks were beaten by Melbourne before bouncing back last week when running down Adelaide.
Suggested Bet – Hawthorn +8.5 @ $1.90