We thought that Ladbrokes had gone crazy offering $2 lines every week, but the Guru has taken the cake. He is tipping North Qld, Brisbane, and St.George all in the same round! Punt Club’s medical staff have been rushed to the scene where he is undergoing an HIA assessment as we speak.
3 units North Qld Cowboys +12.5 @2.00
2 units Cronulla Sharks +5.5 @2.00
2 units Brisbane Broncos Win @1.65
1 unit Brisbane Broncos Margin 1-12 @3.00
2 units Newcastle Knights +3.5 @2.00
2 units StGeorge/Ill Dragons +1.5 @2.00
NRL Round 9 Match Previews
North Qld Cowboys vs Sydney Roosters
Assessed Line: Cowboys +9.5
Ladbrokes: Cowboys +12.5
After a bruising extra-time encounter against the Storm, the Roosters travel to Townsville for a game they are expected to win easily, and understandably so. The Cowboys have been in poor form recently and are coming off a dismal 40 point drubbing at the hands of the Eels. However, I feel this is a real trap game for the Roosters. With the loss of Tupou and now Cordner, I’m tipping they will struggle against a fired-up Cowboys back at home. North Qld at the plus is the BEST BET.
Gold Coast Titans vs New Zealand Warriors
Assessed Line: 1.90 each of two
Ladbrokes: Titans +1.5
Two low ranked and very inconsistent teams go head to head in what is still an intriguing battle. The Warriors are coming off a maiden win for their new coach, welcome back Roger Tuivasa-Sheck and relish playing the Titans, having won a staggering 16 of their past 18 encounters. However, Gold Coast has the advantage of being back at home, and with NZ struggling to win consecutive matches, this is an evenly poised contest. No confidence to bet at the current prices.
South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Wests Tigers
Assessed Line: Rabbitohs -5.5
Ladbrokes: Rabbitohs -5.5
This has been an evenly matched contest over the years and not much has changed in 2020. Both teams sit together on the ladder with an almost identical for and against. The Tigers missed out on a hat trick of wins after some ill-discipline against the Panthers whilst Souths were far from impressive in their win against the Dogs, and lose Burns to a season-ending injury. The Rabbitohs still look superior on paper despite being somewhat sloppy in recent weeks. The line is spot on.
Cronulla Sharks vs Penrith Panthers
Assessed Line: Sharks +4.0
Ladbrokes: Sharks +5.5
A great match to open Super Saturday, pitting a resurgent Sharks outfit against the increasingly gritty Panthers, led superbly by Nathan Cleary. The Sharks have scored 80 points in their past 2 games, moving up to 7th on the ladder, but amazingly have not faced a team above them for 6 weeks. The Panthers on the other hand have been grinding out wins against quality opposition, despite only averaging 20 points a game in attack. Cronulla boasts 10 wins in their last 12 clashes against Penrith but compared to recent weeks will be facing their toughest test against a very strong defensive outfit. Some value in the plus.
Brisbane Broncos vs Canterbury Bulldogs
Assessed Line: Broncos -4.5
Ladbrokes: Broncos -3.5
Things are going from bad to worse for Brisbane (and Anthony Seibold) after 6 straight losses, the last 2 as favourites against lowly Gold Coast and New Zealand. This week they face the Bulldogs who sit in last place, and once more the Broncos are dished up as favs! Punters must be getting sick of hearing “they are due this week”. Let’s try and find some positives for them. After being booed off in Brisbane a fortnight ago they will be looking for a better showing on return and interestingly have won 7 of their past 8 against the Dogs at home (but only won 2 of 8 away). Back at Suncorp they’ll continue the trend and get the win they desperately need but it might be ugly so a margin bet is also worth a play.
Canberra Raiders vs Melbourne Storm
Assessed Line: Raiders +0.5
Ladbrokes: Raiders +1.5
After the Storm’s long history of domination against the Raiders, Canberra has won their past 3 clashes including the 2019 qualifying final in Melbourne. At home and in front of their vocal fans, the Raiders will lift once again and have the added advantage of the Storm having to make the long trip down from the Sunshine Coast, twice as far as normal. The Raiders almost looked back to their best last week, blowing the Saints off the park early, before hanging on for the win. However, Melbourne is playing superior football at the moment, and with Munster named in the reserves, they deserve the slightest of edges in favouritism. No bet.
Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels
Assessed Line: Knights +1.5
Ladbrokes: Knights +3.5
The high flying Eels play only their third game away from “fortress Parra” all year and face the daunting task of beating the Knights in their first official home game at Newcastle. On top of that, the Knights have dominated the Eels in recent times winning 11 of the past 14. Parramatta impressed last week racking up a big score but were flattered by an awful Cowboys performance. However, it could be argued the Knights were lucky to get away with a controversial win against Manly, Fonua-Blake getting 2 weeks for the mere suggestion! Newcastle represents value at home in a match where either side could win.
StGeorge/Ill Dragons vs Manly Sea Eagles
Assessed Line: Dragons -0.5
Ladbrokes: Dragons +1.5
Without a doubt, Manly has been the most luckless team in the past 2 years when it comes to injuries. The loss of Turbo Tom has once again had a devastating impact and after 2 straight losses without him, they will be getting desperate for a win. A month ago you’d have chalked this down as an easy kill for the Sea Eagles but as they say, a week is a long time in football. The Saints traditionally play well against Manly and back at Kogarah, they will be very competitive. As the slight outsiders, they are worth a bet.
Good luck and great punting,
Punt Club NRL Guru