THE PUNTING GUIDE – Punt Club

THE PUNTING GUIDE

March 10, 2022

Flemington & Rosehill + NRL

It’s quite easy in these crazy times of 2022 to forget to make time to enjoy the things we love and cherish the dearest. For me, besides family & friends, it’s always been sport, racing & betting. And not always in that order! This time of year is exciting, the NRL is back, AFL around the corner, and who can forget the Group 1 racing from Rosehill & Flemington. I’m super keen on one in the Newmarket too…

Friday

Goulburn Race 8 – G3 Kembla Grange Classic – 1600m

#3 Hope In Your Heart –
$3.90

She’s ready to win 4th up & fully fit. She was fantastic in Group 1 company in The Surround last start when finishing alongside some really promising fillies. The mile suits and Pikey sticks. She’s the one to beat.

Saturday

Flemington Race 4 – G2 Sires’ Produce – 1400m

#1 Merchant Prince – $7/$2.50

He was a little unlucky not to finish closer to them in the Group 1 Blue Diamond after being slow to being & not having the clearest passage in the straight. The draw is a little tricky, I think Trumby Nolen will be more aggressive on him in the early stages and take up a prominent position. At the each way quote, he looks a bet.

Flemington Race 5 – G2 Kewney Stakes – 1600m

#1 Yearning – $
4.80

Her run was much better than it looked last start, it was impossible to make any ground that day & she found the line really well out in the inferior going. Race favourite Argentia was unlucky in that race too, but she was on the fence the whole way and once clear didn’t exactly savage the line. Yearning gets some weight relief, box seats, and can be the strongest over the mile.

Flemington Race 6 – G1 Newmarket Handicap – 1200m

#3 Lost And Running – $3.90

There’s been heavy support for this bloke since markets went up, $4.80 he opened before being crunched into $3.90! Rare to see such a big go in a Group 1. I think he’ll start favourite and I think he’ll win well.

Flemington Race 7 – G1 Australian Cup – 2000m

#12 Duais – $8/$2.60

It was hard to miss her eye-catching finish in the Chipping Norton, she was hemmed away on the fence before coming across heels and absolutely motoring to the line. She still managed to finish alongside Think It Over, who had every possible. Most of these have reached their ceilings, she hasn’t, and she’s a great bet at big odds. 

Rosehill Race 6 – G2 Phar Lap Stakes – 1500m

#12 Roots – $
5.50

Stablemate to the race favourite Fangirl, we’ve seen Avdulla win on the longer priced stablemate on Hinged for Waller, and I think we can see it again here. She has barely put a foot wrong throughout her short career, she was desperately unlucky not to knock off Fangirl in her 2nd ever race start. Her first up win was full of merit and as long as she is fit with the month between runs, she can win.

Rosehill Race 7 – G3 Sky High Stakes – 2000m

#1 Great House – $5.50

He did enough first up when running on into 4th to suggest he’s come back in fine order. He looks to have upside, his win last prep in the Hotham was nothing short of outstanding and if he got any where near that form, he just wins.

Rosehill Race 8 – G1 Coolmore Classic – 1500m

#6 Expat – $7/$2.45
 

She’s ever-consistent having won 8 times in 13 starts, including last start when beating two subsequent winners. There’s massive question marks on Espiona, she wanted to hang badly last start, J Mac off and J Ford on, no thanks. There doesn’t look to be a lot of speed in this, Expat can roll forward and take some catching.

NRL

Roosters ($1.18) vs Knights ($5)

  • Keary set to return from injury
  • ‘Squid James’ Tedesco to have a big year with Keary back
  • Is former Knight Connor Watson the Roosters new Jake Friend? (Spoiler – probably not)
  • Can Ponga find form now that they are paying his dad?
  • The Knights stink

The Roosters come into round 1 as the shortest-priced favourites for the round, and for good reason. The Knights have a smell about them that would outlast religion. Mitchell Pearce boarded a plane for god knows where in the off season and former Dragon Adam Clune takes the 7 jersey. Good luck mate. The Roosters on the other hand welcome back star half Luke Keary after missing nearly all of last season. His inclusion means Teddy can just worry about chiming in out the back when required, as opposed to trying to do it all like he did last season. The Roosters will be the biggest winners of round 1.

Cowboys ($1.87) vs Bulldogs ($1.95)

  • Will Jack Hethrington stay on the field?
  • Val now a centre & Hammer a fullback?
  • Will the Fox trot as a Dog?
  • Will TPJ stay on the field?
  • Will Lolo play big minutes?
  • Are you sick of questions?

There are a million questions going into this game, but for me, none bigger than; how the f*ck does Okunbur get a game? Who does he have photos of? Actually, don’t answer that. I don’t want to know! He’ll rush in off his wing and leave his opposing winger unmarked like he has a million times before, and for this reason, Murray Taulagi to score a try is the bet of the season!

Good punting!

Punt Club Crew

Gamble Responsibly – 1800 858 858

*All prices and lines are correct as of the time of writing & are courtesy of Ladbrokes, who are offering $2 lines on ALL NRL games during Round 1. T&C’s apply, check their website for more details.